Contrails, the visible white line trails that are left by aircraft, immediately disperse to create not just in clear blue skies, but through natural ice clouds. This research spotlights the nuanced role of aviation within atmospheric chemistry and climate, uncovering substantial negative ramifications on climate change.
Contrails occur when hot exhaust gases from an aircraft’s engine mix with the frigid air found at altitudes around 10 kilometers. If the right atmospheric conditions are present, these contrails can persist for hours or even days. In cold, humid conditions, these seeds develop into large cirrus clouds. This extreme event is a vivid illustration of the complicated interaction between human-caused climate change and natural weather variability.
Researchers from the Institute of Climate and Energy Systems–Troposphäre (ICE-3) at Forschungszentrum Jülich collected in-situ data on temperature and humidity. They compiled this data from all commercial jets that flew over the North Atlantic from 2014 to 2021. Led by the study’s principal investigator, Prof. Andreas Petzold of the German Aerospace Center, the research describes the warming contributions of contrails worldwide. Second, it illustrates exactly how these contrails are enhancing the greenhouse effect.
The Mechanics of Contrail Formation
Contrails are created when the hot exhaust from aircraft engines encounters the very cold air at high altitudes. That cooling triggers condensation and ice crystal formation, producing the enduring trails that can stretch crosswise with the sky. Depending on the conditions at altitude, these trails can linger for hours and even spread out to form cirrus clouds.
Cirrus clouds, which usually form at high altitudes ranging from 5 to 12 kilometers, appear as thin, hair-like strands across the sky. Because these clouds reflect or trap sunlight and heat, they can greatly affect the climate and weather in any given area. This study is the first to demonstrate that most contrail form within pre-existing natural ice clouds. They only don’t show up in clean air.
The implications of this finding are noteworthy. So, contrails only form where there are clear skies or thin ice clouds. Instead, they allow sunlight to pass through, which the Earth’s surface absorbs and warms. These ice clouds tend to trap a good portion of the heat that is otherwise radiated back into the atmosphere. That’s because this process further fuels global warming. Under heavy cloud cover, the sun cannot penetrate. This means that these types of clouds reflected a lot of sunlight back out into space, which had a cooling effect.
Climate Impact of Contrail Cirrus Clouds
The role of contrail cirrus clouds on climate yet uncertain, but important. Their heat-trapping ability has led many scientists to worry that they are accelerating global warming. Prof. Martina Krämer of our Stratosphere Institute Division (ICE-4) at Forschungszentrum Jülich, elucidates this complex interaction. She calls for more research to better understand the impacts of it.
This research highlights a critical aspect of climate dynamics: human activity, such as aviation, can have profound effects on natural atmospheric processes. Long-living contrails spread out and form cirrus clouds, exacerbating warming trends. This demonstrates, now more than ever, the need for sustainable aviation development.
One could argue that the greatest challenge scientists face today is to assess just how widespread these contrail cirrus clouds are and what they do climatically overall. With aviation set to skyrocket worldwide, grasping these nuances is ever more critical for fighting climate change.
Future Directions in Aviation and Climate Research
The results of this study highlight the need to more fully connect atmospheric science with aviation operations. When airlines are continually looking to improve operational efficiency and lower their environmental impact, knowing the possible consequences of contrail formation is crucial.
Going forward, research efforts will aim to devise strategies to reduce the climatic impacts of contrails. First off, you can diversify flight paths and altitudes to avoid persistently forming contrails. On top of that, you can use other alternative fuels to lower exhaust temperatures.

